The yen sagged on the euro, sterling and other crosses this week and headed for a fourth weekly drop against the dollar on Friday as investors chased better yields just about everywhere else, wagering Japan’s rates would stay near zero for some time.
The yen is the worst performing G10 currency this year, with a 6.3% slide on the dollar. The greenback is the best performer.
For the week the yen is down 0.6% on the euro, touching its weakest for three months on Thursday at 163.45 per euro. It dropped by the same margin on sterling to hit its lowest since late 2015 at 190.83 and made nine-year nadirs on the Australian and New Zealand dollars. [AUD/]
Yen moves against the dollar were more modest due to the risk its slide could prompt intervention in markets from Japan, with officials reminding traders they stand ready in recent days.
The dollar gained 0.2% to trade at 150.53 yen this week. Moves in Friday’s Asia session were small and trade lightened by a public holiday in Japan.
Investors can earn interest, or “carry”, by borrowing yen around 0% and buying income-bearing assets in other currencies.
With Deutsche Bank’s foreign exchange volatility index collapsing to two-year lows and markets backpedalling on bets for deep rate cuts in the U.S., Europe and Britain – leaving yields elevated – the trade is profitable.
“There’s a focus on carry while we’re in a range-bound environment,” said Bank of Singapore strategist Moh Siong Sim, noting that hopes for a yen rally had taken a hit from last week’s data showing an unexpected slide into recession in Japan.
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